Showing posts with label bad science. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bad science. Show all posts

Saturday, October 13, 2007

Don't Eat Your Lipstick

Your lipstick may be killing you! At least, that's what Joy Sewing of the Houston Chronicle wants you to think. Her article in Friday's paper ("An ugly discovery: Lead in lipsticks a concern") is just the sort of bad, alarmist journalism about science that drives me crazy.
More than half of 33 top-brand lipsticks recently tested contained detectable levels of lead, according to a report released Thursday by the Campaign for Safe Cosmetics, a coalition of environmental and public health groups advocating toxin-free products.
...

Lead in high doses has been related to learning and behavioral problems in children and has been linked to miscarriages and other health issues in adults.

The study compares lead levels found in lipsticks to the federal standard for lead in candy, which is .1 parts per million, since there is no current standard for lead levels in lipstick, Malkan said.

Oh, where to begin? Let's start with the Campaign for Safe Cosmetics. The article says that this is a "coalition of environmental and public health groups," but it doesn't list what those groups are. The Campaign's website lists its founding organizations, and a lot of them sound like advocacy groups to me: Alliance for a Healthy Tomorrow, Breast Cancer Fund, Clean Water Fund, Commonweal, Environmental Working Group, Friends of the Earth, Massachusetts Breast Cancer Coalition, National Black Environmental Justice Network, National Environmental Trust, and Women's Voices of the Earth. Not surprisingly, the Campaign for Safe Cosmetics sounds like an advocacy group, too: among other things, it apparently wants the FDA to regulate cosmetics and other personal care products and for cosmetics companies to sign its Compact for Safe Cosmetics. It's not that research funded by advocacy groups is inherently unreliable, but it ought to be subject to a heightened scrutiny because advocacy groups obviously have an interest in presenting only evidence that supports that which they are advocating. If there existed a trade group consisting of the cosmetics manufacturers of America and this group released a study purporting to show that all cosmetics on the market were perfectly safe, shouldn't such a study be subjected to more scrutiny than such a study put out by an unaffiliated university? Well, why shouldn't a study put out by the Campaign for Safe Cosmetics. But there isn't a whole lot of evidence that Joy Sewing has done this. The story reads like a press release from the Campaign for Safe Cosmetics, with a couple of fig leaf quotes from L'Oreal and the FDA.

The Campaign for Safe Cosmetics prominently mentions on their website that L'Oreal, Estee Lauder, and Avon have refused to sign their Compact. Is it any wonder that products from these manufacturers are singled out in their study? It seems to me that one of the purposes of this study was to generate bad publicity for companies that had refused to sign the Compact.

But what do motivations matter if the study was properly-conducted and shows that there are problems? So, the question is whether the study actually does show a problem. In the study, the standard of comparison for lead levels in lipstick is the FDA-permissible lead level in candy. But this doesn't seem reasonable to me. Candy is a food product largely consumed by children, who apparently have more lead sensitivity than adults. Lipstick is not a food product, and it is not primarily used by children. A more appropriate standard, it seems to me, is that of the Consumer Product Safety Commission, which says:

The scientific community generally recognizes a level of 10 micrograms of lead per deciliter of blood as a threshold level of concern with respect to lead poisoning. To avoid exceeding that level, young children should not chronically ingest more than 15 micrograms of lead per day from consumer products.

The big loser in the Campaign study was L'Oreal Colour Riche True Red, which had 0.65 parts per million lead. That means that it contains 0.65 micrograms of lead per gram of lipstick. A quick Google search reveals that a standard tube of L'Oreal Colour Riche lipstick weighs 0.13 ounces, or 3 grams. In order to reach the CPSC maximum lead consumption number, a child would have to eat
more than seven tubes of lipstick daily. And remember that lead is more of a danger for children than it is for adults.

Unless you're eating the lipstick rather than wearing it, and unless you're eating it in massive quantities, the lead levels reported in this study don't seem alarming to me. Rather, they, and this story, seem calculated to alarm consumers for no good reason. The Campaign study is meaningless, its hyping of the study's results is dishonest, and Joy Sewing has allowed herself to be manipulated. A shameful performance all the way around.

Thursday, October 11, 2007

Attack of the Killer Cell Phones

The Telegraph of London ("Britain's No. 1 quality newspaper website") reports about a study purporting to show that cell phones are dangerous and must be kept out of the hands of children (it's always for the children, isn't it?):
People who have used their phone for a decade are twice as likely to be diagnosed with a tumour on a nerve connecting the ear to the brain, according to a group of scientists who have surveyed the results of 11 different studies.

Prof Kjell Mild, of Orbero University, Sweden, who is a Government adviser and led the research, said that children should not be allowed to use mobile phones because their thinner skulls and developing nervous system made them particularly vulnerable.

This news story is an example of the kind of science reporting that drives me crazy. I realize that there isn't the space is a newspaper story to explore all of the nuances of the underlying data presented in the study or the methodology that the researchers used, but how can a reader form a reasonable opinion about the soundness of the study without any information at all about how it was conducted. Okay, it's not strictly true that there is no information about how this study was conducted, but just saying that it was a survey of 11 other studies provides next to no information other than that all of the data used is derivative. And what about the conclusions? What if it is true that heavy cell phone users double their chances of developing a nerve tumor than those who aren't? What is the chance of developing this tumor without a cell phone? If it's 1 in 10 million, doubling it is insignificant and should not cause any rational person to alter his cell phone usage at all. If it's one in four, then it's an entirely different situation. This article is good for nothing but causing unwarranted alarm, and I suspect that that was the entire point.

(No, I don't read the online version of The Telegraph regularly. This story caused a flurry of radio "news" blurbs, and I went looking for their source.)